I reached similar conclusions based on your logic. The DOF table is roughly an estimate of where the government thinks the FAD will be in 8-12 months. Yes, that looks good but I would say in the worst case, we may not pass as the FAD in FY 2024 unless the PERM I-140 filings remain low (i.e. That's only a touch above the 34k green cards available for FY24 and would represent a scenario where the FAD could jump forward very close to in FY 24. I don't count non-NIW 140s b/w Feb-Sep 30 because again those have 2021 PDs and should get their GC before start of new FY in October 2023.Ībove table works out to a total of ~39k green cards assuming a 90% i140 approval rate, 95% 485 approval rate, and 1.8 dependent multiplier. *counting these as they might not get their GCs in time before end of this FY even though their PDs are before Feb 2022. OCT - DEC 2022 PD PERM FILERS (assumption): 1500 MAR 2022 - SEPT 2022 PD PERM FILERS (assumption): 5000 If someone's PD is say, then this is who is ahead of you:ħ0% of MAR-SEPT 2022 NIW I-140 FILERS: 9500 And that PERM filing numbers were pessimistically the same this year. I did some math assuming that say 30% of NIW filers b/w Mar 1-Salready got their GCs. Also many of those applicants might not have a decision on their I140 by October 23 if they only filed i140 recently. We're assuming that the numbers stay the same, but it could be way lower given that Big Tech stopped filings. What we really need to account for are PERMs filed b/w Feb-Oct 2022, which we have no data on. But those I140s likely have a 2021 PD so they should hopefully be taken care of in this FY before October 23. And would explain why the FAD is so far back right now.Īnother thing to consider is that the PERM based numbers we're using here (9700 for FY23) are not actually PERM filings but i140s filed in that category. Given the fast processing of i-140s that's quite likely. I agree that USCIS has already approved some NIW filers b/w Feb. 1st, so no one with that date should have been approved yet. because the final action date never passed Nov. So EB2 Feb - Oct 2022 may take up less numbers next year for ROW. However, the good news there (and for us, if the same logic is applied to ROW) is that later, the 2014 filers will take up less numbers. Lots of 2014 filers from India got approved at the expense of older 20 filers. Unfortunately, USCIS is not processing first in first out. Anecdotally, there are reports of some folks who have PDs in June or July 2022 who are already approved. I think that the only way the FAD remains at February is that USCIS may have already approved some NIW filers in addition to the PERM filers you mentioned from Feb. 2021 to Feb 1, 2022), plus any preceding backlog from 20, will get 48454 visas. If they only process up to February, that means only ~10-13k I-140 filers (demand from Oct. I think your worst case analysis is too pessimistic because ROW has 48,454 EB2 visas (197000 *. I think that could easily move forward quite a bit because USCIS loves to first hoard applications and then retrogress the FAD. The dates for filing is a whole another story though. And for that to happen we'll need to jump forward at least a teeny bit more to say 1 March 2022 or 1 April 2022 in the July or August bulletin. March 2023.Įven in the best case scenario, I don't see the FAD moving beyond in FY 2024. If we assume 50% of them did, then maybe the FAD moves to in FY 2024.Įither way, I think it's impossible that in FY 2024 the FAD will move forward all the way to end of 2023 Q2, i.e. This worst case scenario is probably wrong though because I'm counting all i140s between 1Feb-1Aug 2022 even though some of those belong to 2021 PERM filers who may have already got a green card in FY2023. So my "worst case" conclusions are much worse than yours: I don't think the FAD will move beyond in all of 2024.īecause the demand from to like ~ is already enough to use up all the 34k available visas. But we only have 34k green cards available for FY 2024 for ROW. Using a 2.1 dependent multiplier and 90% approval rate, that works out to 68k green cards. So you get a total of ~36k waiting for visas. In any case, if we assume all applications with PDs before will get cleared in the current FY given where the FAD is right now, basically USCIS needs to deal with anything after in FY2024.īetween - 30 Sept 2022 there are about 18k EB2ROW I-140s and as you noted 9200 i140s between. I could not follow the premium processing calculations you did at the bottom. I have slightly different conclusions though. Interesting analysis which in terms of numbers looks fairly consistent with mine overall even though you approached it differently.
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Architects have a wide range of roles, from planning, designing, and drawing to overseeing the project start to finish. Architects have the training, knowledge, and experience to plan the project, maximize the space, select finishes and materials in your budget, and even manage the project. If you are building a new home or considering an extensive remodel, hire an architect to help. Licensed contractors, and industry experts. We gather information from a variety of pricing databases, To provide you with the most accurate and up-to-date cost figures, Reviewed by Cristina Miguelez remodeling expert. Learning About Audio Racks (Studio) & Audio Furniture. Record, Edit, and Mix on Linux, macOS and Windows Audio and MIDI Multi-Track Recording and Editing. Auray SVRK Series Shallow Server Rack (12 RU) B&H AUSVRK12US MFR SVRK-12U-S. It is currently the only workstation on the market built for the Midas M32. Autodesk Green Building Studio can be used as a standalone web service. 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Thoughtfully designed construction with many application possibilities A studio table should be a worthy centerpiece for any audio working space, big or small. If youre looking to build a music studio desk and want something easy to put together, but sturdy and looks great, this video is for you I walk step by ste. Parenting - a challenge for even the most infallible heroes. It’s up to Superman and Batman to wrangle them. Set in an “imaginary” universe, the iconic heroes are randomly given children. “The Sons of Superman and Batman,” World’s Finest #154 (1965) In #151, the superheroes are accidentally zapped by an “evolutionary ray” from Krypton, turning them into Super-Caveman and “The Batman of 800,000 A.D.” “What if?” stories were a regular go-to for World’s Finest in the sixties. “The Infinite Evolutions of Batman and Superman,” World’s Finest #151 (1965) Composite Superman turns out to be a janitor at the Superman Museum, having been struck by lighting while cleaning the Legion of Super-Heroes’ trophies and imbued with the heroes’ signature moves - the literal embodiment of “the crossover.” Author Edmond Hamilton introduced Composite Superman - a half-Batman, half-Superman with an array of superpowers - into the mythology. “The Composite Superman!” World’s Finest #142 (1964)Ī staff of science-fiction writers took the superheroes into the realm of psychedelia. Kent is later discovered in Batman’s outfit and Lois Lane writes it off as a silly bit of undercover reporting. To keep the secret safe, Batman switches outfits with Superman. A sloppy bit of heroism leaves Clark Kent’s true identity lingering in the open. In it, the Man of Steel and Caped Crusader battle a gang of goons who obtain a piece of Green Kryptonite. Though the moniker “World’s Finest” was used for the two heroes for a while, they only joined forces in issue 71. “Batman - Double for Superman!” World’s Finest Comics #71 (1954) A competitive friendship is born, as the issue’s front cover suggests: “This is a job for Superman!” “No, this is a job for Batman!” It’s in the process of suiting up that the duo learns of one another’s alter egos. Trouble in paradise is diverted when a diamond thief provokes the two into action. When they arrive, the ship is overbooked, forcing the two to share a cabin - and a bed. It was quite hokey: Both in need of a rest and relaxation, Bruce Wayne and Clark Kent independently vacation on the same cruise. The first true crossover was in a Superman comic. “The Mightiest Team in the World,” Superman #76 (1952) (Though the planned epic manifested itself as a now-infamous Easter egg in the 2007 film I Am Legend.) Now that Snyder is set to bring both heroes together in the same movie, we’ve taken a look back at their long history to figure out what story lines might influence the movie and, more important, to answer the question: How could Batman ever beat Superman? Isn’t that pretty much impossible? Read on. Superman in 2002, only to abandon the concept in favor of Nolan’s pitch. sounded a fanfare when it hired Troy director Wolfgang Petersen to helm a Batman vs. But it seems almost inevitable in our comic-book-consumed cinema that the two would eventually meet. These American icons have done so in comic books for 70 years and on the big screen for half that time. Superman and Batman can carry their own stories. On the other, Batman, a mere mortal whose most recent incarnations - Christopher Nolan’s Dark Knight movies - were both a critical and financial smash. On one side, the Man of Steel, who led his film of the same name to box-office glory last month. At last week’s Comic-Con in San Diego, it was announced that director Zack Snyder would serve as referee for the biggest cinematic superhero battle of our time. |
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